This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Diplomatic engagements with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in Kyiv on September 6, followed by trilateral talks involving European partners, have driven elevated posting activity. These meetings addressed security guarantees, territorial issues, winter aid packages, air defense, and energy support amid ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict developments. Zelenskyy issued multiple detailed video statements and updates on negotiation formats, sanctions, and battlefield conditions, consistent with patterns during high-stakes diplomatic windows. Trader consensus around 60-79 posts for the September 1-8 period reflects this sustained rhythm of official addresses and real-time commentary, with lower probabilities assigned to outlier ranges absent major escalations or additional scheduled events in the resolution window.