- Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?55¢
- Will Joshua Pagdato win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?<1¢
- Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?2¢
- Will Umar Hayat win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?<1¢
- Will Michael Vogiatzakis win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?4¢
- Will Christopher Clacio win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?<1¢
- Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?6¢
- Will Johnny Calderon win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?1¢
- Will Noah Redden win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?1¢
- Will Zachary Uminski win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?<1¢
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Incumbent Scott Gillingham holds a modest edge in the Winnipeg mayoral race, with traders assigning him the highest probability amid a crowded field heading into the October 28 vote. His position stems from name recognition and record on transit changes, housing starts, and downtown safety initiatives, even as a spring Probe Research poll showed notable voter dissatisfaction. The recent September 1 entry of former councillor and cabinet minister Kevin Klein has introduced the strongest named challenger, prompting immediate criticism from Gillingham and injecting new scrutiny on issues like crime, affordability, and property taxes. Most other registered candidates remain political novices or repeat low-performers with limited profiles, leaving little separation in implied probabilities until nomination filings close September 22 and campaigning intensifies.