This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.
SpaceX is advancing Starship Flight 14 preparations with Ship 41 completing a full-duration static fire using all six Raptor engines, positioning the vehicle for a potential late-August or early-September 2026 liftoff from Starbase. Following Flight 13’s July 24 success, leadership including Elon Musk and Gwynne Shotwell emphasized a monthly cadence, with the mission targeting the first orbital deployment of operational Starlink V3 satellites and the first tower catch attempt for the upper stage, pending FAA and FCC approvals. Recent filings reference returns to the launch site and a possible August 28 NET, though some internal slides point to mid-September. These milestones reflect rapid iteration on V3 hardware and reusability goals amid ongoing regulatory reviews that have historically influenced exact timing.