- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on September 6?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 6?11¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 6?19¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 6?75¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on September 6?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on September 6, 2026, centers on the 74–77°F range (collectively ~89% implied probability) because persistent tropical moisture, high dew points near 75–78°F, and typical early-September conditions limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent observations show daily lows of 75–78°F from September 1–5, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 77.3°F. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models project an overnight low in the upper 70s (around 78°F), with partly to mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered thunderstorms further suppressing temperature drops. These factors explain why probabilities cluster tightly around 76–77°F while assigning minimal weight to extremes below 74°F or above 78°F. As the night progresses, updated hourly observations will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.