- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 7?2¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 7?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 7?25¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 7?73¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 27°C as the expected overnight minimum for September 7, driving the 78% market-implied probability. Persistent subtropical conditions feature light winds, high humidity (65–90%), and mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep temperatures from dropping further. Recent observations on September 6 showed overnight lows near 26–27°C under similar patterns, with daytime highs reaching 31–32°C. Model consensus and the absence of cooler air intrusions or strong fronts reinforce this range, though minor local variations or forecast adjustments could support the 21.5% odds on 26°C. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions ahead of the day’s resolution.