- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 3?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 3?44¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 3?42¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 3?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on September 3?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Clear skies and moderate northeast winds are driving the tight market split between 30°C and 31°C for Qingdao’s September 3 maximum. Official forecasts from local meteorological sources and multiple models project a high of 29–31°C under sunny conditions with winds of 3–5 levels, consistent with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong location. Daytime radiative heating under minimal cloud cover supports the upper end of this range, while the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea and afternoon sea breezes introduces slight downward pressure, keeping probabilities closely balanced. Recent days have shown highs near 28–29°C with stable high pressure, providing limited precedent for significant deviation. New model runs and real-time observations on September 3 will determine the precise peak.