- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 8?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 8?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 8?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 8?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 8?46¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 8?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 8?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or higher on September 8?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Incoming Atlantic weather system is expected to bring increased cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow to Paris on September 8, moderating temperatures after warmer conditions on the 7th. Official and model guidance, including GFS-based forecasts, points to a daytime peak near 23–25°C amid 50–70% precipitation chances, particularly in the afternoon and evening, which reduces solar insolation and caps the high. This aligns with the historical average high of ~22.6°C for the date and explains the market’s concentration on 24°C (46%) and 25°C (25%) as leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited upside potential from the unsettled pattern. New model updates or observational shifts in the next 24 hours could refine the exact maximum.