- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C or below on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 14?>99¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or higher on October 14?<1¢
Clear skies and northwest winds under a stable high-pressure system produced a daytime maximum of 21 °C in Busan on October 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied 100 % consensus. Surface observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration station recorded a peak of 21.7 °C near 14:00 local time amid dry conditions and light to moderate northerly flow, consistent with multiple independent forecasts and real-time station data showing afternoon readings clustered at 21 °C before rapid evening cooling. This outcome sits near the upper end of the climatological range for mid-October. The only realistic challenges to resolution would involve a late data revision from the primary reporting station or an unverified microclimate anomaly, both highly improbable given the dense observational network and consistent model agreement.
নিয়ম
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.