- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 3?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 3?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 3?56¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 3?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 3?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on September 3?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple agencies indicate a cold front passage will bring southwest winds and cooler air to Buenos Aires on September 3, limiting daytime heating after September 2 highs near 21–23°C. Model consensus points to a maximum of 17–19°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers possible, consistent with climatological September averages around 19°C. Trader emphasis on 19°C (56% implied probability) and 20°C reflects uncertainty in peak timing and cloud cover effects on insolation, while lower probabilities for 17–18°C incorporate risks of stronger cooling if precipitation intensifies. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will refine these near-term estimates ahead of resolution.