- Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?8¢
- Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?13¢
- Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?14¢
- Curfew in a major French city by December 31, 2026?21¢
Recent nationwide protests over living costs, education standards, and public services escalated into riots on October 17 across France, with arson at sites including Limoges city hall, looting in Paris, Marseille, Lyon, and other centers, and over 1,800 arrests. Authorities responded with tear gas, water cannons, and targeted bans on protective gear near schools, while a curfew was imposed in Denain until October 25. President Macron scheduled a national address for the evening of October 18 amid calls for further demonstrations. These developments, occurring six months before presidential elections, have increased trader focus on security measures such as curfews or emergency powers in major cities, though historical precedent shows such steps often face legal and political hurdles.
নিয়ম
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a curfew is officially announced in any part of Paris, Marseille, Lyon, Toulouse, Nice, Nantes, Montpellier, Strasbourg, Bordeaux, or Lille, France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The listed cities refer to the municipalities (communes) of those names, within their official municipal boundaries. Curfews applying only to other municipalities, including suburbs or neighboring municipalities within the same metropolitan area, will not qualify. A curfew refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits the general population from being present in, or moving through, public spaces in a listed city, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A qualifying curfew may be citywide or limited to specific arrondissements, districts, or neighborhoods of a listed city, and must be officially declared by the relevant municipality, the relevant prefecture (including the Paris Police Prefecture), or a French national authority. A broader curfew (e.g. department-wide or nationwide) will qualify so long as it applies to at least part of a listed city. Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, curfews applying only to minors or other specific groups, and conditional or prospective statements that a curfew may be imposed will not qualify. Orders restricting demonstrations or gatherings, closures of specific parks, facilities or venues, restrictions on business hours or sales, and transit suspensions will not qualify unless they also impose a curfew as defined above. Any qualifying curfew which is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris local time will count regardless of if or when it goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.